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Weekly Trading Forecasts on Major Pairs (January 18 - 22, 2016)

Jan 16, 2016 09:57 pm
analyst75 User

帖子: 128
入会日期: 22/11/2014

Here’s the market outlook for the week:



Dominant bias: Neutral   

This pair experienced short-term upswings and downswings, with no directional movements in the medium term. Just like last week, there may not be very strong movements this week, though there could be significant movements around the end of this month (which could happen on other major pairs as well). There are support lines at 1.0850 and 1.0800. There are also resistance lines at 1.1000 and 1.1050. Price must go above these resistance lines or support lines, paving way for a strong movement expected around the end of this month. It is likely that EUR would rally, which would be visible on all EUR pairs. 



Dominant bias: Neutral

Whatever happens on USDCHF would be determined by what happens to EUR. The bias is now neutral, owing to the recent erratic movements in the market. There are support levels at 0.9950 and 0.9900. There are also resistance levels at 1.0050 and 1.0100; and so it is expected that price would go above these resistance levels or the support levels. A movement to the downside is more likely because the resistance level at 1.0100 is now a major barrier to bulls. That resistance level has successfully thwarted rally attempts within the last two weeks.



Dominant bias: Bearish   

This currency trading instrument came down by, at least, 250 pips last week, almost testing the accumulation territory at 1.4250. Price has come down by 950 pips since the middle of December 2015. There is a very strong bearish bias on the market – it does not make sense to go long until there is a bullish retracement of about 300 pips. That is the only condition that can threaten the existing bearish bias; otherwise rallies would offer new short-selling opportunities.  



Dominant bias: Bearish    

USDJPY consolidated last week, though it showed determination to continue going downwards. Price has come down by close to 600 pips since December 18, 2015, testing the demand level at 116.50 on January 15, 2016. There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market and it is possible that the market would continue its southward journey, just as certain JPY pairs have done.       



Dominant bias: Bearish

This cross, which fell sharply in the first week of this year, simply moved sideways last week. The outlook on the cross is bearish. However, the bearish outlook might be overturned by events affecting the Euro. In case the Euro gains lots of stamina, a rally attempt might be witnessed on this cross, contrary to what other JPY pairs might be doing.   


This forecast is concluded with the quote below:


“An ideal trading methodology should allow for limited risks and unlimited gains.” – Anonymous