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Weekly Trading Forecasts on Major Pairs (September 21 - 25, 2015)

Sep 19, 2015 12:18 pm
analyst75 User

Сообщения: 128
Зарегистрирован: 22/11/2014

Here’s the market outlook for the week:



Dominant bias: Bullish  

Though this pair was trendless in the first few days of last week, it was characterized by high volatility on Thursday and Friday. Price moved upwards On Thursday and got corrected downwards on Friday. However, the outlook on the pair is bullish: we may witness further bullish journey this week (which may also happen on most other EUR pairs). Price could reach the resistance lines at 1.1450 and 1.1550 this week.



Dominant bias: Bearish

USDCHF also consolidated in the first few days of last week, broke down on Thursday and bounced upwards on Friday. The overall bias remains bearish, nonetheless. As long as EURUSD is strong and CHF refuses to yield to gravity in a significant mode, it would be difficult for USDCHF to experience any meaningful rally. The resistance level at 0.9800 is a strong barrier to the bulls.



Dominant bias: Bullish    

From the accumulation territory at 1.5350, this currency trading instrument moved upwards by 300 pips, testing the distribution at 1.5650. From that distribution territory, the trading instrument has been corrected lower by 110 pips. Price could find it difficult going further upwards this week, but the uptrend would be valid as long as the accumulation territory at 1.5350 is not broken to the downside.



Dominant bias: Neutral    

There is no yet a clear direction on USDJPY, for price did not make any large directional movement last week. There can be a serious breakout this week; which would most probably favor the bears, owing to a measure of weakness in USD and a bearish expectation on certain JPY pairs. There are demand levels at 119.00 and 118.50. There are also supply levels at 121.50 and 122.00.



Dominant bias: Bullish

In spite of the bearish correction that occurred on Friday, there is still a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market, which would not be violated until price crosses the demand zone at 134.50 to the downside. For the EURJPY to trend upward this week there must be an exceptional stamina in EUR as well as a measure of weakness in JPY – otherwise a serious bearish movement could start before the end of the week.  


This forecast is concluded with the quote below:


“Yes, my profits and losses are ultimately nothing more than a “productivity report.”  – Dan Gamza